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After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Kaisa disclosed the progress of overseas debt restructuring. Hong Kong plans to hold a hearing on December 19, and Kaisa Group Holdings Limited issued an announcement on December 11, disclosing further information about overseas debt restructuring, involving a notice to hold a hearing. According to the announcement, Kaisa Hong Kong plans to hold a hearing in the High Court of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region at 10 am on December 19, 2024. At the same time, Kaisa Cayman plans to hold a hearing in the Grand Court of Cayman Islands at 9: 30 am on January 15, 2025.Hershey's share price fell 5.2% before the market.

German Chancellor Scholz: Decisions need to be made before the end of the year, such as improving children's welfare. It is necessary to solve the financial drag problem before the end of the year.The lowest temperature in the suburbs of Shanghai will fall below freezing point from Sunday. Today, the sky is cloudy and the rain is intermittent during the day. The temperature difference throughout the day is small, and the temperature in most areas is between 6~9℃. The highest temperature in Xujiahui Station in Shanghai during the day is only 7.9℃. The humidity is high, coupled with the northerly winds, and the wet and cold body feels doubled. Tomorrow is still a cold day. There are many cloud systems in Shanghai, mainly cloudy to cloudy, with weak precipitation and some short-term light rain in some areas. The wind is less than today, with northerly winds of 3-4 and coastal areas along the Yangtze River of 4-5. The temperature is between 6~11℃ and the relative humidity is 90%-60%. Affected by strong cold air, there was a strong wind and cooling process in Shanghai from 13th to 14th. At noon on the 13th (Friday), cold air began to affect Shanghai, and the temperature dropped. It is estimated that the minimum temperature will drop by 3 ~ 5 degrees in urban areas and 6 ~ 8 degrees in suburbs during the 48-hour period from 13th to 15th. The lowest temperature in most suburbs will be below freezing point from 15th to 18th. The lowest temperature of the process appeared on the morning of 15th and 16th, and the urban area dropped to about 3℃, while the suburbs of Chongming, Jinshan, Fengxian and Qingpu were-3℃ to-4℃, with thin ice or freezing. (Weather in Shanghai)Lilly will study whether diet pills can effectively control addictive behaviors. Dave Ricks, CEO of Lilly, said that the company will start to study whether its best-selling diet pills can also effectively control addictive behaviors such as alcoholism, smoking and drug abuse. Ricks said at a meeting that these drugs are "anti-hedonic" and may temporarily make patients get rid of drug dependence. Some doctors have said that this drug can help alleviate drug addiction. Novo Nordisk also said earlier this year that it planned to conduct research on drug addiction.

Shuang Jie Electric: The controlling shareholder, actual controller and their concerted actions terminated the agreement to transfer part of the company's shares. Shuang Jie Electric announced that the controlling shareholder, actual controller Zhao Zhihong and their concerted actions Zhao Zhixing and Zhao Zhihao reached an agreement with Hangzhou Yingxin Enterprise Management Partnership (Limited Partnership) on the termination of the agreement to transfer part of the company's shares, and signed the Agreement on the Dissolution of the Share Transfer Agreement. According to the information previously disclosed, Zhao Zhihong, Zhao Zhixing and Zhao Zhihao intend to transfer 54 million shares of the company's unrestricted shares to Hangzhou Yingxin by agreement transfer, accounting for 6.76% of the company's total share capital. Due to the change of objective conditions, both parties decided to terminate the transfer of this share agreement, and they will not be liable for breach of contract.Market News: U.S. Congressman Nancy Mays was attacked in the Capitol because of the transgender bill.Russian central bank survey: the average key interest rate in 2024 is expected to be 17.5%, compared with the previous forecast of 17.3%. The average key interest rate in 2025 is expected to be 21.3%, compared with the previous forecast of 18%.